Sports gambling is often very profitable if an individual know the techniques the particular “smart money” bettors use to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that smart money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to be able to bet.
Here’s a ideal example. My spouse and i analyzed often the Western world Va vs. Louisville game, and concluded that West Virginia had the particular edge in the video game. Nonetheless My spouse and i also recognized that there was a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guess on this particular game. Here is my analysis I released prior to the game:
West Va vs . Louisville
This online game features all the signs of being one associated with the greatest games involving the year, together with both teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming back again from staying down major in the next one fourth to winning inside overtime.
So what’s the overall game search like this year?
In the event that this video game were being played from a neutral field, West Virginia would likely probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost due to the fact July. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. Inside the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 PATH games.
These are some very remarkable stats that tilt this scales in favor involving WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, this extra reward is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like much, but in a in close proximity match-up this way, that excess point can make the difference between a good push in addition to a loss.
But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are really almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS inside their last 10 home activities.
And if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since December 16, 2003! During UFABET existing run Louisville is hitting 49. four points each game in the home, while averaging only stopping 15. 7 points for each game from home. In case a person don’t do the figures, that means considering that his or her last home reduction they also have averaged beating their particular oppositions simply by about 34 items per game.
Even greater remarkable, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the pass on, on average, by means of 13 items per video game at home due to the fact the year 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s exactly how…
Many of those stats have been built up during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already had recent games in which they already have only scored twenty eight, 12, 24 points. That video games weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
Basically the fact that this is still some sort of close game to call. But the things i look to get is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s no factor to think WVU can’t have one to this low to core 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off that game and not guarantee at all. There usually are better video games this weekend break with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return a good punt for a new TD. The results was that West Virginia’s borders has not been so big they will may still win following building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular sport, people significant concerning wagering saved money they will can offer better apply on upcoming games.