Sports betting can be quite profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques typically the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make dollars. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a excellent example. I actually analyzed typically the Western Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West Virginia had this edge in the game. Yet , We also realized that there have been a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not bet on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:
West California vs . Louisville
This online game possesses all the signs of being one of the ideal games of the year, together with each teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, with Rest of the world Virginia coming back again from being down large in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime, however,.
So what’s the adventure search like this year?
In the event that this game were being played on some sort of fairly neutral field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented throw. They haven’t lost considering that July. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they dropped to Virginia Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROUTE games.
These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt typically the scales in favor regarding WVU to get tonight’s online. Plus, often the added bonus offer is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This can not seem to be like much, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that spare point will certainly make the difference between a push in addition to a loss.
But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s stats may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home video games.
And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at home since January 17, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. four points for each game in the home, while averaging only quitting 15. 8 points per game with home. In case a person did not do the figures, that means given that their own last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their own opposing team by means of about 34 things per game.
Furthermore extraordinary, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the spread, on average, simply by 13 points per game at home since 2003.
Wow… how can a person go against that?
The majority of those stats have been piled up during the 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They are yet to got recent games where they have already only scored twenty eight, 23, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
Basically the fact that this is still a good close game to phone. Nonetheless what เว็บแทงบอล look to get is West Virginia’s safety to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s no reason to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this specific game and not guarantee at all. There happen to be better games this weekend break with more clear-cut rewards.
The final score with this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for a TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s edge has not been so big which they could still win following building so many mistakes. By not betting on this match, people really serious concerning sports betting saved money these people can offer better employ on future games.